Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -15 (89-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| L. Willingham | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Quigley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 34 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| N. Quinn | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Lennox | 18 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Harrower | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter