Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 36 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 3 | - |
| L. Harding | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Melvin | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Currie | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Sanford | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 17 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| K. Mann | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 35 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Miller | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Snow | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| I. Castro | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 15 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Lehning | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. de Souza | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter