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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% +14.6 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 โœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings +2 (79-77). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erik Rush * 39 5-8 1-1 5-7 3 5 0 0 1 16 15 -
Will Bynum * 36 3-7 0-0 4-7 4 2 2 0 1 10 10 -
Divaldo Mbunga * 35 8-11 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 2 20 19 -
Marquis Navarre * 34 4-4 3-3 1-2 3 6 0 0 1 12 16 -
Branden Johnson * 33 6-14 3-10 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 17 6 -
Bobby Howard 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Austin Brown 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Cameron Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Cody Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremiah Dominguez * 36 8-13 3-5 3-5 3 5 3 0 1 22 19 -
Kyle Coston * 33 4-8 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 12 8 -
Andre Murray * 31 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 10 12 -
Phil Nelson * 29 2-6 1-3 2-4 3 2 1 0 0 7 7 -
Jamie Jones * 14 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Julius Thomas 25 7-10 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 0 17 12 -
Dominic Waters 23 3-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 1 -
Tyrell Mara 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Wendell Wright 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter