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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 81.6% 18.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% -
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rima 0 4-4 3-3 1-2 4 0 1 1 4 12 10 -
J. Bos 0 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 2 1 0 0 7 12 -
J. Galassi 0 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 3 0 2 6 6 -
B. Moore 0 2-6 1-2 3-3 0 1 1 0 2 8 2 -
J. Malone 0 3-10 2-5 3-4 4 3 1 0 4 11 5 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Franklin 0 2-7 0-0 3-4 9 1 3 2 1 7 14 -
S. Moore 0 4-8 0-0 3-4 10 2 4 0 5 11 14 -
J. Ward 0 8-14 5-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 21 10 -
D. Criner 0 5-14 1-6 6-6 2 5 2 0 6 17 6 -
B. Jones 0 5-11 0-2 5-8 8 0 3 1 3 15 13 -

* = starter