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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Texas Southern Tigers Jackson State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% +13.2 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Jackson State Tigers +7 (72-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeAndre Hall 36 5-15 0-0 1-1 5 5 4 0 3 11 7 -
Matthew Miller 34 7-17 5-11 2-4 2 1 1 0 3 21 5 -
Ricky Boyles 29 5-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Jacques Jones 23 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
N. Walker 22 0-5 0-3 5-6 1 6 2 0 2 5 7 -
Marc Ellis 19 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Burrell 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
M. Drewy 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
Damian Henderson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Griffin 38 5-7 2-2 11-13 5 4 2 1 3 23 25 -
G. Maxey 36 8-15 2-2 8-12 8 3 1 1 1 26 23 -
G. Johnson 34 6-14 0-4 1-2 9 0 0 0 3 13 5 -
Rod Melvin 23 0-2 0-2 0-2 4 6 1 0 0 0 9 -
Cason Burk 22 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 4 0 1 0 0 7 -
J. Caldwell 20 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
Phillip Williams 17 0-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
De'Suan Dixon 5 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Russell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Martinez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter