Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 36 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| D. Calegari | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| V. Oliver | 35 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| J. Harden | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 17 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Boone | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Carter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Silva | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Malik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hunter | 36 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Bland | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| E. Wise | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Rembert | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Strings | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. DeCasas | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Lauer | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Z. Atkinson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Folker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter