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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Washington State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% -
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: Washington State Cougars +22 (62-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 36 6-16 5-12 3-5 2 1 1 0 1 20 7 -
G. Sim 29 2-7 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
J. Catron 25 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 4 -1 -
L. Longmire 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Humphrey 20 0-6 0-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 -4 -
J. Crittle 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 5 3 5 -
D. Wiley 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Dunigan 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. Brown 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
F. Dorsainvil 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Elorriaga 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
N. Fearn 2 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Odia 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rochestie 35 1-5 0-3 2-2 4 6 2 0 1 4 10 -
C. Forrest 30 6-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 4 14 10 -
K. Thompson 30 4-10 0-2 0-1 4 4 1 1 1 8 7 -
N. Koprivica 29 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
A. Baynes 28 7-8 0-0 6-6 8 0 0 1 2 20 19 -
M. Capers 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
D. Casto 17 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 10 10 -
A. Lodwick 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Harthun 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Enquist 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Witherill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter