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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 11.8% 88.2% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McCoy 37 5-11 1-3 2-3 6 4 0 0 0 13 12 -
D. Williams 28 6-14 2-3 4-4 3 5 0 0 3 18 9 -
R. Nyakundi 24 4-8 3-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
M. Faye 20 4-10 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
P. Dia 19 4-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 4 8 0 -
B. Fall 18 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 2 5 8 -
J. Haynes 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
M. Walker 17 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 4 0 0 0 4 6 -
R. Harp 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
F. Otis 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Malone 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis 38 6-15 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 14 0 -
Q. Calhoun 36 8-13 0-2 2-4 7 1 0 0 0 18 13 -
Z. Nixon 35 6-17 3-8 2-2 3 5 2 0 0 17 10 -
A. Coleman 35 6-15 1-4 7-7 14 4 1 0 2 20 22 -
M. Cousin 26 6-11 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 1 0 14 12 -
N. Mosley 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
D. Wade 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
H. McGloster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter