Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| E. Washington | 35 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Henke | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| G. Parker | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Stewart | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Holland | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Noonan | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Schafer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Merriex | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Walker | 35 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| A. Ogide | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. McFarland | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Franklin | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Dunn | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Perry | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Nigon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter