Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morgan | 39 | 5-19 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Steijn | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Kilpatrick | 31 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Stucki | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Carson | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Tatum | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| F. Caspari | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Taylor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Monroe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Busma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Baldwin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nelson | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Murray | 32 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Thomas | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Waters | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Coston | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Mara | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter