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2009-03-10

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tilford 38 4-10 4-6 0-0 1 3 3 0 5 12 4 -
D. Coleman 34 11-16 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 2 3 27 20 -
L. Watson 33 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 1 2 2 6 -
B. Sherrer 28 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Davis 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 4 -1 -
R. Douglas 20 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Ross 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 5 4 -
P. Tabet 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C.J. Garner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Slaughter 35 5-14 2-8 6-6 2 0 2 0 3 18 5 -
S. Pettigrew 35 6-11 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 15 12 -
O. Mendez-Valdez 34 2-8 2-6 4-4 3 8 1 0 3 10 11 -
S. Kerusch 29 4-12 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
J. Evans 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 0 6 -
A. Sally 23 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 5 4 -
D.J. Magley 19 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 8 12 -
D. Cvoro 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter