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2009-03-09

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (11.8 off)

Actual: VCU Rams +21 (71-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 33 2-10 0-3 0-2 6 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Vaughan 31 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 5 7 -
D. Smith 27 8-14 5-10 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 23 11 -
M. Morrison 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
L. Birdsong 19 0-4 0-0 3-6 1 1 0 1 2 3 0 -
A. Cornelius 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 0 0 -
D. Monroe 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
I. Tate 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
R. Pearson 11 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
C. Fleming 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Nolan 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Maynor 35 9-20 2-5 5-6 3 8 2 0 6 25 12 -
L. Sanders 34 7-12 0-0 4-4 20 0 0 7 2 18 31 -
B. Burgess 29 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 8 6 -
J. Rodriguez 28 2-4 2-3 2-4 1 1 1 0 3 8 4 -
T.J. Gwynn 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
E. Nixon 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Rozzell 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
K. Pishchalnikov 11 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
T. Saintil 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Smith 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter