Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | +9.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +21 (71-50). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Long | 33 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Vaughan | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dre Smith | 27 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| M. Morrison | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darryl Monroe | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| I. Tate | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Pearson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Fleming | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Nolan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Maynor | 35 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 31 | - |
| B. Burgess | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Rodriguez | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Gwynn | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Nixon | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Rozzell | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Pishchalnikov | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Saintil | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gerard Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter