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2009-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte 49ers +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Goring 0 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 6 6 -
N. Thomas 0 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 2 2 2 7 -
J. Balderson 0 10-20 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 20 -1 -
J. McKnight 0 6-15 2-5 0-2 2 0 3 0 6 14 -2 -

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Floyd 0 2-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
A. Spriggs 0 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 6 5 -
D. Burgin 0 4-9 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 1 7 8 2 -
T. Ray 0 3-6 1-4 2-2 6 4 3 0 6 9 10 -
A. Jones 0 3-12 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 1 2 6 -2 -

* = starter