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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 (5.7 off)
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 35 6-11 2-3 1-3 9 0 2 0 4 15 11 -
K. Knutson 28 1-10 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -7 -
B.J. Porter 24 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
R. Smeulders 20 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
L. Sikma 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 6 10 -
J. Stohl 20 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
E. Waterford 18 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 7 2 -
T.J. Campbell 14 4-5 4-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
J. Hegarty 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
T. Ito 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 0 -1 -
J. Hannibal 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 36 3-7 0-0 9-16 14 0 6 1 1 15 28 -
P. Mills 35 3-12 2-9 4-7 4 4 0 0 3 12 5 -
O. Samhan 35 6-13 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 1 2 12 12 -
W. Hunter 28 4-8 2-3 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 13 4 -
C. Hughes 23 5-9 2-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 12 8 -
M. McConnell 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 2 6 -
I. O'Leary 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Y. Smith 9 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
L. Walker 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter