Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 37 | 8-19 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| L. Phillips | 35 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Holloway | 34 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 33 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| B. Sampay | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Rubin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Odzic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Holtz | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ahelegbe | 38 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Koch | 34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Farokhmanesh | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Brown | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Moran | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Dunham | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Rodenberg | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Haak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter