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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (0.2 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +8 (56-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Franklin 33 4-8 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 4 10 2 -
J. Hairston 29 2-8 0-4 0-0 10 1 1 4 1 4 11 -
B. Morris 28 1-4 0-1 1-3 6 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Lee 24 2-7 0-1 2-4 9 0 1 3 4 6 8 -
R. Coleman 24 1-4 0-2 0-1 0 5 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Thornton 22 5-12 3-10 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 15 6 -
R. Nwankwo 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 3 0 2 9 -
J. Smith 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Durant 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 33 5-11 4-7 0-1 6 5 1 0 1 14 14 -
D. Monroe 32 6-11 0-0 3-5 7 1 1 0 2 15 11 -
J. Vaughan 32 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
D. Smith 26 5-12 2-5 1-3 1 0 1 0 0 13 3 -
L. Birdsong 26 2-6 0-1 2-2 9 0 1 0 1 6 9 -
I. Tate 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Morrison 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Cornelius 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Pearson 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter