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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke 34 5-13 4-7 3-3 3 1 3 0 1 17 10 -
C. Fortson 33 7-27 2-7 2-2 5 4 1 0 1 18 0 -
S. Welsh 28 3-9 1-3 0-2 1 0 2 0 2 7 -1 -
M. Sanchez 25 0-2 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 3 9 -
J. Henry 22 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
M. Washington 19 2-5 0-0 2-3 8 0 2 0 4 6 7 -
A. Clark 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Britt 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Cox 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 33 3-8 1-4 4-5 2 3 0 0 0 11 8 -
B. Tinsley 33 3-5 3-4 4-4 4 3 1 0 4 13 12 -
J. Taylor 30 5-11 0-0 6-6 10 6 0 0 3 16 18 -
A.J. Ogilvy 23 5-12 0-0 2-3 10 2 2 1 3 12 12 -
F. Ezeli 17 3-4 0-0 4-7 4 0 0 3 1 10 12 -
L. Goulbourne 17 2-3 0-0 2-4 4 3 0 1 2 6 9 -
S. Tchiengang 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 3 6 -
D. McClellan 15 0-3 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
G. Drake 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Hinkle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Duffy 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Meriwether 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter