🐻⬇️🏀

Northwestern Wildcats 47
@
Ohio State Buckeyes 52
2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% - ✓

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +5 (52-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 39 6-15 6-15 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 18 7 -
K. Coble 38 6-13 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 13 -1 -
M. Thompson 37 4-8 2-5 2-3 1 2 2 0 2 12 7 -
L. Mirkovic 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Rowley 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Ryan 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Nash 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Shurna 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
S. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 40 7-11 0-2 3-3 2 5 2 2 4 17 13 -
J. Diebler 40 3-7 3-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 11 8 -
W. Buford 35 4-11 1-3 2-2 8 0 0 1 3 11 6 -
P.J. Hill 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 2 -
B. Mullens 26 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
D. Lauderdale 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Simmons 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
K. Madsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Offutt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter