Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 37 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| R. Hummel | 34 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Grant | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Jackson | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Kramer | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Calasan | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Green | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Riddell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Morgan | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| G. Suton | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Summers | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Roe | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Ibok | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucious | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crandell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Herzog | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter