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2009-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +17 (61-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Venezia 36 4-15 1-5 3-3 4 3 2 1 1 12 6 -
Y. Gyawu 32 5-10 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 2 13 6 -
A. Hill 30 0-6 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 -3 -
N. Pascale 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
T. Vinson 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
B. Jonson 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 6 6 3 -
S. Melville 15 1-2 0-1 1-3 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
B. Marfurt 12 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
J. Hoban 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Morse 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Beinert 34 4-10 0-2 0-0 5 6 2 1 4 8 8 -
E. Meister 32 9-10 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 2 1 19 20 -
C. Cunningham 30 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 7 9 -
R.J. Evans 28 7-15 0-0 0-2 6 5 1 0 1 14 10 -
A. Vander Baan 22 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 7 6 -
A. May 22 2-4 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
P. Doherty 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 2 5 -
D. Brown 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. McCarthy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Dixon 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter