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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 93.4% 6.6% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Log Adjusted 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (101-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hill 37 7-12 2-3 5-6 10 5 0 0 4 21 20 -
A. Goods 36 4-12 2-8 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 2 -
M. Johnson 34 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 4 9 8 -
J. Owens 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 4 1 -
L. Fields 24 4-8 1-3 1-2 2 6 1 0 0 10 11 -
J. Green 23 8-15 6-10 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 22 11 -
K. Brown 17 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 9 4 -
J. Trotter 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 40 9-9 2-2 7-11 1 9 3 0 3 27 28 -
C. Budinger 39 10-14 4-6 4-5 5 5 2 1 1 28 26 -
J. Hill 37 8-14 0-0 4-5 8 0 1 2 4 20 13 -
J. Horne 33 3-6 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 1 3 7 5 -
K. Fogg 31 2-3 2-3 3-4 5 8 1 0 1 9 19 -
Z. Johnson 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
F. Onobun 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
B. Lavender 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bagga 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter