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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
ELO 41.1% 58.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Daugherty 0 3-11 -2 2-4 2 1 2 8 -2
K. Ross 0 2-7 -2 1-2 16 2 1 5 17
C. Nance 0 2-7 - - 3 2 2 2 2 4 4
J. Raterman 0 6-12 3-6 2-2 10 1 1 1 4 17 14
P. Lalor 0 2-7 -1 - 4 4 3 4 2

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Phillips 0 5-10 - - 5 2 1 2 10 6
T. Phillips 0 5-14 - -2 19 3 1 10 17
T. Reed 0 3-15 1-8 - 7 2 5 7 -4
S. Jennings 0 6-16 4-6 1-1 3 1 17 3
J. Taylor 0 3-10 3-6 - 2 1 9 0

* = starter