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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% - โœ—
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 โœ— (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Friday 35 6-8 3-4 6-10 7 2 1 0 2 21 21 -
C. West 34 5-7 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
T. Montgomery 34 4-7 0-1 12-13 7 2 0 0 0 20 22 -
J. Davis 24 4-9 3-8 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 13 7 -
M. Friday 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 1 0 2 9 -
J. Griffin 20 1-2 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. King 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
J. Bedwell 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wells 39 9-18 2-3 2-3 5 5 1 1 2 22 14 -
Z. Urbanus 38 5-10 3-8 1-3 5 2 0 0 0 14 11 -
A. Dahn 31 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
D. Nelson 31 6-10 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 15 8 -
J. Brown 29 3-5 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
C. Morabbi 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Streeter 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. McDowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Brick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Clark 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Pandak 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Eykyn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Reynolds 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter