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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 65.7% 34.3% -
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 (0.1 off)

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Alexander 38 6-15 3-10 6-8 10 0 0 0 3 21 13 -
M. Kingsley 36 9-20 0-0 1-3 14 0 0 2 2 19 13 -
E. Bell 31 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 7 4 -
N. Shaw 28 2-4 2-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 2 7 7 -
G. Adams 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -3 -
E. Williams 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 5 7 -
W. Harris 18 3-7 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 7 3 -
B. Akpan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson 32 4-5 0-1 4-4 0 0 1 0 2 12 6 -
T. Gabbidon 30 3-8 1-1 9-10 12 0 0 0 2 16 18 -
M. Smith IV 26 1-8 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 5 2 -
J. Shank 25 2-6 2-4 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 8 3 -
J. Bonney 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 4 8 -
D. Gibson 18 3-10 0-3 3-5 5 2 0 1 4 9 3 -
L. Jackson 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Allen 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Stepter 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
R. Frohlich 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter