Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +24 (69-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darby | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Thompson | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Bell | 26 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Jackson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Holmes | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| G. Clardy | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Shannon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Moore | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Dupre' | 11 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 22 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Stohl | 20 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Ito | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Knutson | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hegarty | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Sikma | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| E. Waterford | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter