Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.