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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 37 4-11 2-7 4-4 1 3 0 0 2 14 5 -
D. Dunson 29 0-5 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
T. Wilson 25 5-14 1-3 5-7 8 0 0 0 1 16 9 -
D. Collins 24 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 8 5 -
C. Roberts 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Norris 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
E. McCain 17 2-3 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Brown 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
S. Singh 13 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
B. Lavin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ahelegbe 33 6-14 0-2 9-9 3 4 0 0 3 21 11 -
J. Moran 31 4-9 0-4 0-2 4 3 1 0 0 8 7 -
A. Koch 29 7-10 2-2 6-9 9 2 0 3 1 22 25 -
T. Brown 23 1-4 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
K. Dunham 22 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 7 9 -
J. Eglseder 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 8 11 -
L. O'Rear 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 2 -
A. Farokhmanesh 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Rodenberg 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Haak 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter