Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jordan | 40 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Y. Hawkins | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| H. Allen | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 28 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Turner | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Nero | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Crawford | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Olander | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Smith | 39 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| P. Bouli | 36 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Crawford | 33 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 11-15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| H. Banogle | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Austin | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Adams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ferguson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Pearson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| L. Jolicoeur | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter