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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 2-11 1-6 5-6 4 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
D. Balbay 38 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 6 3 2 2 4 15 -
J. Mason 38 4-6 0-1 0-0 7 4 0 0 2 8 11 -
D. James 28 8-14 2-4 8-8 6 0 0 0 2 26 16 -
D. Pittman 22 5-11 0-0 6-6 3 0 0 3 1 16 10 -
C. Atchley 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 2 4 -
G. Johnson 11 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
C. Chapman 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
H. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Ward 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Morningstar 36 3-6 3-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 9 12 -
S. Collins 36 7-19 1-4 6-8 3 7 2 0 3 21 11 -
C. Aldrich 33 4-9 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 3 1 12 16 -
T. Taylor 27 4-9 1-1 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 11 6 -
M. Morris Sr. 19 3-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 9 8 -
M. Morris 14 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Little 12 1-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
T. Releford 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
T. Reed 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Q. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Bechard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kleinmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter