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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (6.7 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Curtis 38 6-10 2-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 16 10 -
D. Moore 33 4-10 0-1 5-6 6 1 0 0 2 13 8 -
K. Swanston 30 2-9 1-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
J. Wells 27 1-11 0-8 3-3 7 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
A. Semenov 24 3-7 1-3 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 9 3 -
J. James 21 0-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 1 1 -
D. Thornton 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 3 3 -
B. Louis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Parker 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Ratner 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 35 4-8 2-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 12 9 -
J. Vaughan 33 2-9 0-3 6-8 7 3 0 0 0 10 11 -
D. Smith 31 0-6 0-3 3-4 6 1 2 1 0 3 7 -
L. Birdsong 28 2-6 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 3 2 7 11 -
M. Morrison 23 3-10 0-0 0-4 8 1 0 4 0 6 9 -
A. Cornelius 18 1-3 0-2 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Monroe 16 5-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 12 1 -
R. Pearson 14 2-3 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 0 2 7 6 -
I. Tate 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter