Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 40 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 23 | - |
| D. Saunders | 35 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| B. Clark | 26 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B.J. Monteiro | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Bolding | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Duty | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Evans | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| C. Robinson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| O. Lewinson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Theis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Wright | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 19 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| P. Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Perry | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Thomas | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
* = starter