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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 โœ— (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Austin Peay Governors -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Buchanan 49 3-9 0-0 5-7 4 0 0 2 3 11 5 -
M. Stallworth 48 2-8 1-4 7-9 8 3 1 0 1 12 15 -
B. Shingles 47 4-6 0-0 3-4 3 8 1 0 5 11 12 -
K. Faried 44 6-11 0-0 3-3 10 3 1 3 1 15 20 -
D. Harper 37 6-12 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 13 3 -
S. Peterson 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Hill 8 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
D. Echols 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Brown 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 50 7-15 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 2 1 16 12 -
K. Duncan 48 4-6 1-2 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 9 8 -
C. Brown 43 4-12 0-5 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 8 0 -
W. Channels 40 6-15 2-7 2-5 2 2 0 0 3 16 2 -
E. Fields 35 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 2 9 -
M. Williams 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
A. Campbell 12 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
T. Caldwell 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Fraley 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter