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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (7.8 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 33 4-13 2-7 4-5 1 3 1 0 2 14 4 -
J. Banks 27 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
M. Proctor 27 4-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 2 0 2 9 11 -
J. Pena 24 3-6 1-1 7-7 0 2 2 0 2 14 10 -
Y. Bonner 23 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
D. Beitzel 23 2-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 -3 -
R. Palacios 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
N. Kingman 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 2 3 -
T. Montgomery 11 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 2 6 -
C. Kaba 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan 40 2-9 0-2 5-6 5 2 2 0 3 9 6 -
M. Stucki 35 6-11 2-3 6-6 4 2 3 2 2 20 18 -
A. Kilpatrick 32 2-10 2-8 4-4 7 4 0 2 1 10 12 -
D. Carson 29 5-10 0-1 2-4 6 3 4 0 2 12 13 -
F. Caspari 14 2-3 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
C. Tatum 14 0-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Busma 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Steijn 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
S. Baldwin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Monroe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter