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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 0.7% 99.3% -
Bradley-Terry 7.6% 92.4% -
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +20.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 13.6% 86.4% -
Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +5 (54-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 37 3-7 0-0 3-4 1 5 2 0 1 9 9 -
M. Holland 33 1-5 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 3 5 -
A. Henke 32 5-11 2-6 2-3 6 3 0 0 5 14 7 -
T. Noonan 28 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 5 11 5 -
S. Schafer 26 2-4 1-1 2-3 1 2 0 1 5 7 2 -
E. Washington 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
G. Parker 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
T. Stewart 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hempsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Provost 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Merriex 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. McLain 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Emery 40 4-7 0-3 7-9 6 1 6 0 1 15 20 -
J. Fredette 40 4-10 1-5 4-4 2 2 3 0 2 13 8 -
L. Cummard 39 3-8 1-5 10-10 5 2 1 1 2 17 16 -
J. Tavernari 29 3-13 1-7 0-2 5 2 1 1 1 7 2 -
N. Hartsock 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
C. Miles 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
L. Morgan Jr. 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Abouo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Anderson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter