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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Texas A&M Aggies Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +10 (96-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Taylor 30 7-9 3-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 17 14 -
D. Carroll 28 7-14 0-1 4-5 6 4 1 0 1 18 14 -
M. Lawrence 27 4-8 4-6 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 13 6 -
J.T. Tiller 26 1-3 0-1 3-5 1 3 1 0 4 5 3 -
J. Safford 21 5-6 4-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 15 11 -
M. Denmon 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 -
L. Lyons 16 4-12 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 0 11 5 -
K. Ramsey 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
K. English 12 1-4 0-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Anderson Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Paul 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Bowers 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sloan 31 5-11 2-3 4-6 1 1 2 0 2 16 7 -
B. Davis 28 4-5 0-0 4-6 10 2 0 2 3 12 18 -
D. Roland 28 3-5 0-1 3-5 3 2 1 0 2 9 8 -
J. Carter 27 4-7 1-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
B.J. Holmes 26 2-6 2-5 7-8 3 4 1 0 0 13 15 -
N. Walkup 20 4-6 3-4 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 12 10 -
D. Loubeau 16 3-3 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
D. Harris 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 6 5 -
C. Elonu 10 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -

* = starter