Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Graeber | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Biber | 26 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Trotter | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Pride | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Barnett | 24 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Dixon | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Rufful | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Riddle | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Weeden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Kouna | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mathis | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sullivan | 38 | 9-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| C. Skrelja | 35 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| A. Williams | 34 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Mullery | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| G. Leffelman | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Taylor | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| S. Gruber | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter