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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 40 5-11 2-4 4-8 6 7 1 0 1 16 18 -
C. Coley 36 6-13 0-0 1-5 8 0 3 0 3 13 8 -
A. Wilderness 30 4-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 0 0 10 11 -
I. Andersen 29 2-9 1-7 5-7 4 0 1 0 2 10 4 -
L. Mack 19 3-10 0-5 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 10 2 -
R. Coleman 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Barnett 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
P. Jones 11 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
G. Ngoundjo 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Matthews 38 5-11 4-10 8-10 4 1 0 0 2 22 14 -
J. Hall 38 3-5 0-0 3-7 9 5 1 2 3 9 18 -
A. Nicholson 30 7-10 0-0 1-5 10 0 1 1 5 15 12 -
R. Blackburn 23 1-2 1-1 2-2 6 5 2 0 4 5 12 -
T. Benson 23 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 12 9 -
M. Eleby 17 2-3 0-0 3-5 2 4 1 0 5 7 6 -
M. Davenport 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Cook 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Carter 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter