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Pennsylvania Quakers 51
@
Columbia Lions 50
2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - ✗
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 ✗ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - ✗

Actual: Columbia Lions -1 (50-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Rosen 40 2-5 1-4 5-5 3 4 2 0 6 10 8 -
K. Egee 34 6-13 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
J. Eggleston 29 4-8 0-1 4-5 8 0 3 0 1 12 14 -
R. Belcore 25 0-2 0-2 3-4 4 7 0 0 2 3 10 -
C. Lewis 16 1-2 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
B. Votel 15 2-2 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Reilly 14 0-4 0-1 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Monckton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 30 1-5 0-0 0-3 9 3 2 0 4 2 7 -
K. Bulger 29 4-8 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 10 8 -
N. Scott 26 2-7 0-4 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
J. Bova 26 3-7 1-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
N. Agho 26 1-6 0-3 6-8 6 0 0 0 4 8 4 -
K.J. Matsui 25 2-8 2-6 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
S. Egee 22 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Z. Crimmins 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Trepanier 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter