Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mbunga | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| E. Rush | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Bynum | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Navarre | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Howard | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Brown | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Anderson | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 39 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 33 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 31 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. McGillis | 30 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| K. Sharp | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Qvale | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| M. Taylor | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter