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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 9-17 3-5 2-4 7 4 2 1 2 23 18 -
I. Mcfarland 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 2 4 -
R. Mccants 0 8-17 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 18 6 -
I. Lucas 0 9-19 5-8 3-7 2 2 2 0 3 26 10 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 4-13 0-2 0-0 2 3 4 0 3 8 1 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman 0 9-13 2-4 9-13 7 2 0 2 4 29 23 -
M. Strickland 0 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 3 0 2 3 2 -
K. Toliver 0 6-17 0-5 13-13 2 5 3 1 4 25 15 -
L. Kizer 0 7-11 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
D. Liles 0 3-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 2 9 10 -

* = starter