Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (56-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.