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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Babbitt 32 6-15 0-2 2-2 8 0 1 0 0 14 8 -
A. Johnson 30 4-16 0-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 4 9 -1 -
M. Cooke 28 5-10 0-1 3-3 7 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
D. Hunt 26 4-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 2 1 8 12 -
L. Burleson 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 3 4 -
B. Fields 24 4-8 3-5 8-10 3 1 0 0 0 19 15 -
A. Phillips 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
L. Giles 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Kraemer 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Carp 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sanchez 35 4-12 0-1 3-3 12 1 3 1 1 11 15 -
J. Greene 30 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 4 -4 -
A. Thomas 26 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 12 0 -
L. Anderson 24 3-8 1-3 0-1 3 1 1 1 0 7 5 -
P. Noonan 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
A. Garner 18 0-3 0-3 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Cunningham 18 3-4 0-0 5-7 5 2 0 0 3 11 11 -
I. Okoye 13 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 4 3 -
Z. Moritz 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Imadiyi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter