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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% - โœ“
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -11 (59-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Laroche 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 4 0 4 10 14 -
J. Gibson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 2 13 19 -
W. McKines 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 3 1 5 16 28 -
G. Castillo 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
T. Gillenwater 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 3 18 26 -
H. Rahman 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Young 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
T. Britt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Merker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Flemings 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 9 15 -
K. Nitoto 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 11 11 -
B. Amis 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 4 1 5 10 20 -
H. Thompson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 -
A. Mayen 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 8 -
P. Campbell 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
L. Parghalava 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 9 13 -
B. Adams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
P. Balocka 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 -
L. Lutu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
A. Jespersen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Fitzgerald 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Xiang 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter