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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 59.2% 40.8% -
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 39 7-17 0-0 2-4 13 2 0 2 2 16 14 -
J. Meeks 39 6-18 2-9 1-1 5 0 2 0 3 15 1 -
M. Porter 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Harris 27 6-8 0-0 2-5 5 0 0 0 2 14 9 -
P. Stevenson 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 4 4 2 -
K. Galloway 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 4 1 4 4 9 -
D. Miller 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 0 -4 -
J. Harrellson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Hodge 35 7-12 3-5 1-2 2 1 3 0 0 18 12 -
N. Calathes 34 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 7 3 0 7 5 2 -
D. Werner 32 2-9 2-4 2-2 6 1 4 1 1 8 10 -
A. Tyus 31 5-8 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 11 8 -
E. Walker 25 2-5 2-4 4-6 2 1 0 0 2 10 6 -
C. Parsons 23 0-3 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
R. Shipman 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 4 -
K. Kadji 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. McClanahan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter