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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: USC Trojans +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Schaftenaar 32 4-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 11 4 -
L. Wallace 32 3-9 2-5 1-3 3 0 1 0 3 9 1 -
J. Tarver 28 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 4 5 -
C. Haynes 27 2-9 0-2 0-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
S. Tarver 26 5-9 0-0 6-6 6 0 2 0 0 16 15 -
R. Claitt 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 2 2 -
O. Johnson 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
C. Hampton 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
D. Deane 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. McShane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 38 7-9 2-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 17 16 -
T. Gibson 35 5-9 0-0 4-6 8 0 2 5 2 14 18 -
D. Lewis 35 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. DeRozan 33 6-9 0-0 4-6 5 3 1 0 2 16 14 -
K. Wilkinson 19 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Vucevic 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
M. Johnson 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Washington 10 4-7 0-0 2-3 3 1 2 1 0 10 10 -
M. Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Cameron 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Green 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter