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2009-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 16.8% 83.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +26 (94-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 30 4-15 1-9 0-0 2 5 0 0 5 9 -4 -
D. Wiley 27 6-10 6-10 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 18 10 -
G. Sim 23 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
M. Humphrey 22 2-4 1-2 1-5 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Catron 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 -
J. Crittle 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
L. Longmire 19 5-10 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
K. Brown 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 7 -
T. Williams 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
M. Dunigan 11 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dragovic 32 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 4 1 10 11 -
J. Shipp 32 11-17 4-7 2-2 6 1 3 0 1 28 20 -
A. Aboya 28 3-8 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 10 10 -
J. Holiday 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 5 3 2 3 4 13 -
D. Collison 26 6-9 0-0 7-7 4 3 3 0 4 19 16 -
J. Anderson 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 1 1 4 7 -
M. Roll 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
D. Gordon 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
M. Lee 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Keefe 7 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
J. Morgan 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Diefenbach 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter