Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -7 (69-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Veteto | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Meo | 19 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Diggs | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Borum | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Soto | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Barlow | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. LoBue | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 36 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 34 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| T. Shelton | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Manley | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 21 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Anderson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hanson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter