Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Thornton | 34 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 6 | - |
| G. Temple | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 26 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Martin | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Farrer | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Bass | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Graham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 35 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| R. Barrett | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Barber | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Waller | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Knox | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Aihe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Drum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 0 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| A. Smalley | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. King | 0 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
* = starter