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2009-03-06

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.6 (41.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +8 (93-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Vaughn 37 6-9 3-5 3-6 2 1 0 0 2 18 10 -
D. Lowhorn 32 13-22 1-4 5-6 7 0 0 1 0 32 18 -
D. Bryant 32 2-9 0-1 0-0 7 8 1 0 2 4 9 -
B. Wallace 29 4-10 1-3 4-5 9 1 0 0 1 13 12 -
P. Smith 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 6 7 -
C. O'Brien 24 1-5 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
A. Caloiaro 17 4-8 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 9 6 -
C. Hernandez 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 30 3-10 0-2 6-6 5 2 1 1 0 12 11 -
K. Bell 28 6-12 1-3 6-7 7 3 2 0 1 19 18 -
M. Hornbuckle 28 8-11 5-6 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 25 18 -
T. Darby 23 3-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
C. Moore 19 3-4 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
R. Holmes 17 1-3 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
G. Clardy 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
L. Jackson 14 4-6 3-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
D. Suttle Jr. 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Dupre' 10 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -3 -
A. Shannon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter