Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 40 | 11-22 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 12 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 39 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| K. Williams | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| N. Garner | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Lacey | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Holmes | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| L. Phillips | 33 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 32 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| E. Holloway | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Rubin | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Sampay | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Odzic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Shipley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter